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PART 3: SA’S TRADE DILEMMA: A PODCAST DISCUSSION WITH DONALD MACKAY

17 April 2024

Caption: MacKay notes the paradoxical nature of promoting black industrialists in an environment where established industries already dominate the landscape.

In a recent episode of Podcasts From the Edge, Peter Bruce of the Business Day engages in a conversation with trade expert Donald MacKay from XA International Trade Advisors, delving into the intricate dynamics of trade in South Africa. This is Part 3 of a five-part article.

… continued from Part 2.

MacKay critiques the government’s approach of requiring reciprocal agreements for imports, characterising it as a form of “racketeering”. While the intention may be noble—to promote local production—the practical implications are problematic. By compelling importers to commit to sourcing locally before domestic production is viable, the government risks stifling investment and innovation.

Furthermore, MacKay highlights the inherent limitations of job creation through such measures. While companies may be incentivised to hire a small number of employees to fulfill contractual obligations, this approach fails to address broader unemployment challenges or stimulate significant economic growth.

The adverse consequences extend beyond job creation, as companies may redirect resources away from more substantial investments due to unfavourable interactions with government regulations. This unintended outcome underscores the need for a more nuanced and holistic approach to economic development.

MacKay’s insights shed light on the complex interplay between trade policies, industrial development, and economic growth in South Africa. Addressing the systemic challenges of prolonged tariff investigations, stagnant import duties, and cumbersome regulatory requirements is essential for fostering a conducive environment for sustainable economic progress. By fostering a dynamic and competitive business environment, South Africa can position itself as a leader in global trade while simultaneously promoting inclusive economic growth and development.

Bruce delves deeper into the intricacies of government intervention in business operations, particularly through procurement policies and commitments. He underscores the critical role of procurement in shaping a company’s strategic direction and emphasises the detrimental impact of government interference on business autonomy and efficiency.

MacKay elaborates on the phenomenon of government influence in the boardroom, particularly concerning procurement decisions. While procurement is traditionally regarded as a core function of business strategy, government mandates and commitments compel companies to align with state objectives, potentially undermining their competitive advantage and strategic flexibility.

The conversation shifts towards the concept of ‘black industrialists’ introduced by former President Jacob Zuma approximately a decade ago. MacKay provides context by delineating three layers within South Africa’s industrial landscape: established large companies, smaller established enterprises, and the emerging cohort of black industrialists.

While the notion of nurturing black industrialists aims to foster economic empowerment and inclusivity, MacKay raises pertinent questions about its efficacy and relevance. He notes the paradoxical nature of promoting black industrialists in an environment where established industries already dominate the landscape. Moreover, the lack of clarity surrounding the definition and criteria for black industrialists poses challenges for implementation and evaluation.

Continued in Part 4…

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